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Liga MX
May 3, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 1
Queretaro

Necaxa win 3-2 on penalties
Cambindo (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lertora (59')
Venegas (19')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Necaxa 2-5 Monterrey
Monday, April 29 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Pumas
Saturday, April 27 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
NecaxaDrawQueretaro
45.01% (0.697 0.7) 25.97% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.02% (-0.718 -0.72)
Both teams to score 52% (-0.469 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (-0.419 -0.42)51.99% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (-0.365 -0.36)73.73% (0.361 0.36)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.15000000000001 0.15)23.03% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (0.222 0.22)56.85% (-0.224 -0.22)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)32.44% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-0.848 -0.85)68.96% (0.84699999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 45.01%
    Queretaro 29.02%
    Draw 25.97%
NecaxaDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Necaxa 2-5 Monterrey
Monday, April 29 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 5-2 Necaxa
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-0 Santos Laguna
Saturday, April 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Necaxa
Saturday, April 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Club Leon
Monday, April 1 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-2 Necaxa
Saturday, March 16 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Pumas
Saturday, April 27 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Queretaro
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, April 13 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 0-2 Queretaro
Sunday, April 7 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Queretaro
Monday, April 1 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, March 16 at 1am in Liga MX


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