SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Pumas | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Juarez | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Pachuca |
31.72% ( -0.34) | 27.15% ( 0.07) | 41.13% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.37% ( -0.37) | 55.63% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( -0.31) | 76.79% ( 0.31) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( -0.43) | 32.37% ( 0.43) |
