SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mazatlan | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
44.2% ( 2.19) | 24.59% ( 0) | 31.2% ( -2.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.88% ( -0.79) | 45.12% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.53% ( -0.76) | 67.47% ( 0.76) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( 0.66) | 20.51% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47% ( 1.03) | 53% ( -1.03) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( -1.75) | 27.44% ( 1.75) |
