SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
| 44.65% | 25.24% ( 0.16) | 30.11% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% ( -0.78) | 48.43% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( -0.72) | 70.56% ( 0.71) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( -0.33) | 21.69% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.17% ( -0.5) | 54.83% ( 0.5) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( -0.51) | 29.83% ( 0.51) |
