SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Necaxa |
50.65% ( 0.03) | 25.62% ( -0.01) | 23.73% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% ( 0.03) | 54.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% ( 0.03) | 75.58% ( -0.03) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( 0.03) | 21.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.58% ( 0.04) | 54.42% ( -0.04) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% | 38.01% |
