SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
58.87% ( 0.04) | 22.5% ( 0.05) | 18.63% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( -0.35) | 47.55% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.25% ( -0.32) | 69.75% ( 0.33) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( -0.11) | 15.81% ( 0.11) |
