Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
