Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
