Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
51.95% (![]() | 21.88% (![]() | 26.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.29% (![]() | 35.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.23% (![]() | 57.77% (![]() |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.01% (![]() | 13.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.49% (![]() | 41.5% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.95% (![]() | 26.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.9% (![]() | 61.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.48% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.72% Total : 51.95% | 1-1 @ 9.64% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 6.48% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.16% |
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