Villarreal have only lost one of their last five La Liga games with Real Madrid and actually triumphed in both league fixtures between the two sides last term.
Real Madrid will not be at full strength for this contest, and taking into account Villarreal's form, we are expecting the Yellow Submarine, even with their injury problems, to be good enough for at least a point.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 34.8% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).
-2.22) 
2.93) 
