SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for Liverpool has a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Liverpool win it is 1-2 (4.14%).
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
| 67.07% | 16.5% | 16.43% |
| Both teams to score 68.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.32% | 22.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.18% | 41.82% |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.56% | 6.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.92% | 24.08% |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.55% | 61.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.83% 4-1 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 5.19% 1-0 @ 4.64% 4-0 @ 4% 4-2 @ 3.56% 5-1 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-2 @ 1.96% 4-3 @ 1.59% 6-1 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1% Other @ 4.84% Total : 67.07% | 1-1 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 2.31% 0-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.62% Total : 16.5% | 1-2 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-1 @ 2.26% 1-3 @ 1.84% 0-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 4.16% Total : 16.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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