SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 82.82%. A draw has a probability of 11.1% and a win for Aston Villa has a probability of 6.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.46%) and 4-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.12%), while for an Aston Villa win it is 1-2 (1.91%).
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
82.82% ( -0.45) | 11.13% ( 0.26) | 6.04% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.98% ( -0.61) | 27.02% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.48% ( -0.78) | 47.52% ( 0.77) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.25% ( -0.19) | 4.75% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 80.77% ( -0.56) | 19.23% ( 0.55) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.55% ( 0.05) | 47.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.18% ( 0.04) | 82.82% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 3-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.37% Total : 82.81% | 1-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.85% Total : 11.13% | 1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.45% Total : 6.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 50 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 45 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 34 |
| 7 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Fulham | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 29 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 24 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 24 |
| 14 | Leicester CityLeicester | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 21 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
| 18 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
| 20 | Southampton | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 15 |
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