SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw has a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bournemouth has a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Bournemouth win it is 0-1 (5.67%).
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
59.43% ( 1.69) | 22.26% ( -0.43) | 18.31% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% ( -0.05) | 47.01% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( -0.04) | 69.26% ( 0.04) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.56% ( 0.55) | 15.44% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.71% ( 1.02) | 44.29% ( -1.03) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( -1.44) | 39.49% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.82% ( -1.36) | 76.18% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.42% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 25 | 37 | 66 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 48 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 44 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 39 |
| 8 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Brentford | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 38 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 24 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 | Southampton | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 22 |
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