SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Aston Villa |
27.63% ( -0.73) | 24.73% ( 0.34) | 47.63% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( -1.97) | 47.66% ( 1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( -1.84) | 69.86% ( 1.85) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( -1.56) | 31.23% ( 1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.43% ( -1.86) | 67.57% ( 1.86) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.62) | 20.06% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.71% ( -1.01) | 52.29% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.63% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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