MX23RW : Saturday, April 29 19:41:55
SM
Saturday, April 29
W
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Banks's Stadium
CT
Walsall
1 - 1
Crawley
Kiernan (41')
Labadie (39'), Menayese (51'), Kinsella (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nichols (45+1')
Craig (11')

We said: Walsall 2-1 Crawley Town

The contest will likely be close, but after winning the last two home meetings between the two sides, we think that Walsall will have the upper hand and that they will claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
WalsallDrawCrawley Town
30.79%27.83%41.37%
Both teams to score 47.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.6%58.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21%79%
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51%34.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8%71.2%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23%27.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64%63.36%
Score Analysis
    Walsall 30.79%
    Crawley Town 41.37%
    Draw 27.83%
WalsallDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 6.95%
2-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 7.86%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 41.37%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient452612760332790
3Northampton TownNorthampton452214961421980
4Stockport CountyStockport4522121164362878
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle4520151065422375
6Salford City452291472531975
7Bradford CityBradford442015958391975
8Mansfield TownMansfield4520121370551572
9BarrowBarrow45188194752-562
10Swindon TownSwindon451513175954558
11Tranmere RoversTranmere451513174547-258
12Grimsby Town451513174856-858
13Sutton UnitedSutton451512184557-1257
14Newport CountyNewport451414175154-356
15Doncaster RoversDoncaster45167224563-1855
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe441315164356-1354
17Walsall451119154448-452
18Gillingham451313193549-1452
19Harrogate TownHarrogate451215185867-951
20Colchester UnitedColchester451213204449-549
21AFC Wimbledon451115194859-1148
22Crawley TownCrawley451113214769-2246
RHartlepool UnitedHartlepool45915215177-2642
RRochdale45910264569-2437
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