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League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
BC
Swindon
1 - 3
Bradford
Payne (78' pen.)
Gladwin (20'), Baudry (25'), Hunt (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lavery (16'), Sutton (40'), Robinson (75')
O'Donnell (66'), Lavery (67'), Robinson (75')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Bradford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawBradford City
35.08%28.9%36.02%
Both teams to score 45.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.53%61.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65%81.34%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89%33.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3%69.7%
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51%32.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99%69.01%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 35.07%
    Bradford City 36.02%
    Draw 28.89%
Swindon TownDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.07%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 12.09%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.02%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Notts County127322721624
2Stockport CountyStockport1272323131023
3Gillingham127141112-122
4AFC Wimbledon1256120101021
5Mansfield TownMansfield12480179820
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe125522821720
7Wrexham125522423120
8Crawley TownCrawley126242020020
9Swindon TownSwindon115422718919
10Morecambe115331513218
11Accrington StanleyAccrington125251718-117
12BarrowBarrow114431312116
13Salford City125161919016
14Bradford CityBradford124441314-116
15Harrogate TownHarrogate125161113-216
16MK Dons124351718-115
17Walsall124351521-615
18Grimsby Town123541617-114
19Newport CountyNewport124262124-314
20Doncaster RoversDoncaster123271320-711
21Colchester UnitedColchester113171720-310
22Tranmere RoversTranmere123181722-510
23Sutton UnitedSutton122191626-107
24Forest Green RoversForest Green122191124-137
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