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League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
WA
MK Dons
1 - 1
Wrexham
Kemp (26')
Harvie (83'), Gilbey (90+5'), O'Hora (90+8')
Lewington (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McClean (22')
Boyle (48'), O'Connell (62')
Boyle (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Wrexham

It is difficult to ignore the home form of MK Dons and away form of Wrexham when choosing a result on Tuesday night. A case can be made for either to win it, but we believe that two quality sides will end up with a point each, which both managers would likely accept ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 24.25% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.47%).

Result
MK DonsDrawWrexham
53.1%22.65% (-0.196 -0.2) 24.25% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.904 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (1.094 1.09)41.19% (-1.093 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.41% (1.102 1.1)63.58% (-1.103 -1.1)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.389 0.39)15.54% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (0.719 0.72)44.48% (-0.719 -0.72)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.753 0.75)30.45% (-0.752 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.888 0.89)66.66% (-0.887 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.1%
    Wrexham 24.25%
    Draw 22.64%
MK DonsDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.322 -0.32)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.076 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 53.1%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.23% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 4-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Wrexham
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackburn 4-1 Wrexham
Monday, January 29 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League Two

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