SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
56.96% ( 0.41) | 22.18% ( 0.06) | 20.85% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.95% ( -0.92) | 43.05% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.55% ( -0.91) | 65.45% ( 0.91) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( -0.18) | 14.9% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.73% ( -0.34) | 43.27% ( 0.34) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( -0.98) | 34.52% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% ( -1.06) | 71.23% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.85% |
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