It is difficult to see Grimsby scoring more than once on Saturday, but they are likely to find the back of the net if they create a similar number of chances as they did against Salford.
Though Newport County will take confidence from their hosts' inconsistencies at home in recent weeks, their own record on the road is alarming, and they may succumb to another defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (5.6%).
0.11) 
-0.01) 
