League Two | Gameweek 25

Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
vs.
Gillingham

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-2 MK Dons
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Bromley
Thursday, January 2 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

We say: Chesterfield 2-1 Gillingham

While both sides are in the midst of tough runs, it seems to be Gillingham whose issues are deeper, and we back the hosts to bounce back to winning ways at the SMH Group Stadium as a result thanks to the abundance of quality they possess all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.87%).

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Gillingham
50.2% ( 0.24)	25.59% ( 0.05)	24.21% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 49.28% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.33% (

-0.45)

53.67% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.84% (

-0.38)

75.16% (

0.38)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59% (

-0.08)

21.4% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.6% (

-0.12)

54.4% (

0.12)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.71% (

-0.52)

37.29% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.92% (

-0.51)

74.08% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 50.19%

Gillingham 24.21%

Draw 25.59%

Chesterfield	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 50.19%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.21%