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League Two | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
GT
Bradford
3 - 2
Grimsby Town
Gilliead (7'), Walker (62'), Cook (81')
Lewis (22'), Chapman (43'), Ridehalgh (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Holohan (23' pen.), Smith (44')
Clifton (20')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bradford City and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawGrimsby Town
49.85% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 25.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.6% (0.087 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (0.083000000000006 0.08)53.19% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (0.070999999999998 0.07)74.76% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.33% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.32% (0.123 0.12)36.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53% (0.124 0.12)73.47% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 49.84%
    Grimsby Town 24.6%
    Draw 25.54%
Bradford CityDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 24.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Bradford
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Bradford
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Grimsby Town
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Brighton 5-0 Grimsby Town
Sunday, March 19 at 2.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient442612660303090
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage442213958391979
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4420121269531672
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon441513165852658
11Grimsby Town441513164854-658
12Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
13Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
14Newport CountyNewport441314174953-453
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe431215164155-1451
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20Harrogate TownHarrogate441115185666-1048
21AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734
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