Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Exeter City - League Two - May 1, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK at Macron Stadium

Bolton

1 - 2

Exeter

Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
36.34%	26.92%	36.74%

Both teams to score 51.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.95%

54.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52%

75.47%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41%

28.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62%

64.37%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66%

28.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92%

64.07%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 36.33%

Exeter City 36.73%

Draw 26.92%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.33%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.1% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.73%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	39	23	11	5	52	25	27	80
2	Northampton Town Northampton	40	19	13	8	53	37	16	70
3	Carlisle United Carlisle	40	19	12	9	60	37	23	69
4	Stevenage	39	19	12	8	53	36	17	69
5	Stockport County Stockport	40	19	10	11	53	33	20	67
6	Bradford City Bradford	39	17	14	8	48	34	14	65
7	Mansfield Town Mansfield	39	18	10	11	63	48	15	64
8	Salford City	40	18	9	13	61	46	15	63
9	Barrow Barrow	40	17	7	16	42	47	-5	58
10	Sutton United Sutton	40	15	12	13	41	42	-1	57
11	Swindon Town Swindon	39	13	12	14	52	49	3	51
12	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	40	15	6	19	40	55	-15	51
13	Walsall	40	11	17	12	42	40	2	50
14	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	40	13	11	16	38	42	-4	50
15	Grimsby Town	39	12	12	15	42	50	-8	48
16	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	39	11	15	13	39	47	-8	48
17	Newport County Newport	39	11	14	14	41	43	-2	47
18	AFC Wimbledon	41	11	14	16	43	48	-5	47
19	Gillingham	40	12	11	17	28	42	-14	47
20	Harrogate Town Harrogate	39	9	13	17	45	57	-12	40
21	Colchester United Colchester	40	9	12	19	35	47	-12	39
22	Crawley Town Crawley	40	9	11	20	43	64	-21	38
23	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	40	8	14	18	47	69	-22	38
24	Rochdale	40	8	8	24	38	61	-23	32