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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
WL

Portsmouth
1 - 2
Wigan

Yengi (85')
Lang (17'), Pack (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chambers (22'), Magennis (83')
Hughes (32')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-2 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Wigan Athletic

Portsmouth could take their foot off the gas after achieving promotion on Tuesday, but we still think that they will produce another strong display to claim a narrow win and extend their unbeaten run to 18 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawWigan Athletic
53.54% (0.172 0.17) 22.36% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1) 24.1% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 59.59% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.37 0.37)40% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.381 0.38)62.36% (-0.38 -0.38)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (0.18599999999999 0.19)14.98% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.59% (0.352 0.35)43.41% (-0.352 -0.35)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.14 0.14)29.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.98% (0.17 0.17)66.03% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 53.54%
    Wigan Athletic 24.1%
    Draw 22.35%
PortsmouthDrawWigan Athletic
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.54%
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-2 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Wigan
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 3-1 Wigan
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Burton Albion
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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