Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
