Northampton have definitely improved under Nolan, and the eight-point cushion between themselves and the relegation zone will come in handy this weekend as they are unlikely to take anything against Birmingham.
However, the Blues have not been as infallible away from St Andrews' recently, and they may have to work for their points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Northampton Town win it is 1-0 (5.61%).
0) 
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