SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
52.84% ( 0.03) | 24.08% ( 0.01) | 23.08% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% ( -0.08) | 48.67% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( -0.07) | 70.78% ( 0.07) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( -0.02) | 18.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.5% ( -0.03) | 49.5% ( 0.03) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( -0.08) | 35.56% ( 0.08) |
