Crawley Town have shown positive signs on their return to League One and should have plenty of optimism under Scott Lindsey, but they may lack the quality to match Barnsley on Saturday and could succumb to a narrow defeat against a Reds side growing in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Crawley Town has a probability of 30.73% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Crawley Town win is 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.09%).

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Barnsley
30.73% ( 0.04)	22.81% ( -0.01)	46.46% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 63.84% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.08% (

0.05)

36.92% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.9% (

0.06)

59.1% (

-0.06)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3% (

0.05)

23.7% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18% (

0.08)

57.82% (

-0.08)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

16.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08% (

0.01)

45.92% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 30.73%

Barnsley 46.46%

Draw 22.8%

Crawley Town	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.73%	1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.64% Total : 46.46%