Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
