MX23RW : Sunday, May 7 19:59:24
SM
Sunday, May 7
BA
League One | Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
MD
Burton Albion
0 - 1
MK Dons

Hughes (74'), Moult (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Twine (90+5')

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 MK Dons

Neither side can really afford many more slip-ups if they are to achieve their respective ambitions for the campaign. However, the form book weighs in on MK Dons' favour, with Manning's men likely to pick up another win over Burton this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMK Dons
37.04%25.38%37.59%
Both teams to score 56.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61%47.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39%69.61%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96%25.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28%59.72%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26%24.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7%59.3%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.04%
    MK Dons 37.59%
    Draw 25.38%
Burton AlbionDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.58%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 5.94%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.95%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.04%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 3.9%
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 0.98%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.59%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827
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