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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
CU

Bolton
2 - 0
Cambridge

Thomason (35'), Collins (66')
Adeboyejo (28'), Cogley (46'), Thomason (70'), Dempsey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kaikai (41'), Morrison (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Bolton
Tuesday, February 27 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cambridge United

Bolton appear to be struggling for goals since Charles's knee injury, while Cambridge have failed to score in both matches under Corr's caretaker management. The Trotters edged it 2-1 when these sides met last month, and we are predicting another narrow victory for the hosts ahead of a crucial promotion clash against Barnsley in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
64.52% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 19.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 15.93% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)38.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7% (0.040999999999997 0.04)61.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5% (0.060000000000002 0.06)37.5% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72% (0.058 0.06)74.28% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.51%
    Cambridge United 15.93%
    Draw 19.54%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.51%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.54%
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Bolton
Tuesday, February 27 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bolton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-3 Charlton
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Wycombe
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bolton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Cambridge
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One


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