Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
