Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
