SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Galway United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
59.89% ( -0.22) | 23.38% ( 0.24) | 16.73% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.91% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( -0.91) | 53.82% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% ( -0.77) | 75.29% ( 0.77) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.41) | 17.67% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( -0.71) | 48.3% ( 0.71) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.57) | 45.45% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.71% ( -0.45) | 81.29% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galway United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.37% Total : 59.88% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.73% |
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