Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
