SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
47.85% ( -0.02) | 27.97% ( 0.02) | 24.18% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 42.88% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.04% ( -0.06) | 61.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.29% ( -0.05) | 81.71% ( 0.05) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( -0.04) | 26.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% ( -0.05) | 61.14% ( 0.06) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.01% ( -0.03) | 41.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.57% ( -0.03) | 78.43% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 14.72% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.14% Total : 24.18% |
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