Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundalk in this match.
