Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
