Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
