SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
49.01% ( 0.23) | 24.85% ( -0.19) | 26.13% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( 0.75) | 49.21% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( 0.68) | 71.27% ( -0.67) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( 0.4) | 20.11% ( -0.4) |
