Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
