J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2023 at 7am UK
Best Amenity Stadium
Sagan Tosu
1 - 3
Yokohama
Honda (3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Yan (11', 21'), Elber (60')
Kida (54')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Yokohama F Marinos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
22.59% ( 0.27) | 22.13% ( 0.43) | 55.28% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 58.45% ( -1.14) |
| 59.38% ( -1.66) | 40.62% ( 1.67) |
| 36.99% ( -1.73) | 63% ( 1.74) |
| 68.46% ( -0.69) | 31.54% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.07% ( -0.81) | 67.93% ( 0.82) |
| 85.38% ( -0.78) | 14.62% ( 0.78) |
