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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 8am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 1
Urawa

Wakizaka (18'), Sasaki (48'), Ienaga (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Okubo (34')
Scholz (41')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Urawa Red Diamonds.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-2 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
40.43% (1.072 1.07) 24.55% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 35.02% (-1.136 -1.14)
Both teams to score 59.14% (-0.412 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.24% (-0.455 -0.45)43.76% (0.456 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.85% (-0.448 -0.45)66.15% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32% (0.32199999999999 0.32)21.68% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.18% (0.491 0.49)54.82% (-0.491 -0.49)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.839 -0.84)24.49% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.06% (-1.195 -1.2)58.94% (1.195 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 40.43%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 35.02%
    Draw 24.54%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.238 0.24)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.24 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.43%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-2 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-0 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, April 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-0 Kawasaki
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Urawa
Friday, April 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Urawa
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League


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