Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
