Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Tokyo in this match.
