SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
45.07% ( 0.06) | 26.07% ( 0.03) | 28.86% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.16) | 52.48% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.14) | 74.15% ( 0.14) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.04) | 23.21% ( 0.04) |
