SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Netanya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Maccabi Netanya |
21.98% ( 0.7) | 23.56% ( 0.49) | 54.46% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( -1.27) | 47.66% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( -1.18) | 69.85% ( 1.19) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.97% ( -0.04) | 36.03% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.19% ( -0.04) | 72.81% ( 0.04) |
| Maccabi Netanya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( -0.88) | 17.39% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.19% ( -1.57) | 47.8% ( 1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Maccabi Netanya |
| 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.98% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.71% Total : 54.46% |
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