SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Tanzania had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Tanzania win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | Tanzania |
40.87% ( 0.03) | 28.49% ( 0) | 30.63% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.24% ( -0.02) | 60.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% ( -0.01) | 80.82% ( 0.01) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( 0.01) | 29.19% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( 0.01) | 65.14% ( -0.01) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( -0.03) | 35.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.35% ( -0.03) | 72.65% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudan | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 40.87% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 30.62% |
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