Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 44.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
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