SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 45.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Sierra Leone |
45.75% ( 0.16) | 29.93% ( -0.04) | 24.33% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 38.43% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0.04) | 67.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.32% ( 0.03) | 85.68% ( -0.03) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.1) | 29.9% ( -0.1) |
