SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Nigeria |
27.63% ( -1.28) | 26.54% ( -0.45) | 45.83% ( 1.73) |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.06% ( 1.08) | 54.93% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% ( 0.89) | 76.22% ( -0.88) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.92% ( -0.43) | 35.07% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.18% ( -0.45) | 71.82% ( 0.45) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( 1.33) | 23.91% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.87% ( 1.87) | 58.12% ( -1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Nigeria |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.63% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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